Article first published: Monday, Aug. 18, 2025, 4 a.m. ET

Article last updated: Monday, Aug. 18, 2025, 1 p.m. ET

System type: Hurricane, Category 4

System name: Erin

As per the National Hurricane Center’s 1 p.m. Monday update, Category 4 Hurricane Erin is in the Atlantic Ocean, 140 miles north of Grand Turk Island and 850 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras North Carolina. Packing maximum sustained winds of 140 mph, the hurricane is tracking west-northwest at 10 mph.

“A turn to the northwest is expected later today, followed by a turn to the north on Tuesday”, forecasters wrote about the hurricane. “On the forecast track, the core of Erin is expected to pass to the east of the southeastern Bahamas today and move between Bermuda and the east coast of the United States by the middle of the week.” They also said “Erin is likely to remain a dangerous major hurricane through the middle of this week.”

Yesterday (Sunday)

The Category 3 hurricane named Erin developed into a Category 4 hurricane with winds of 140 mph. It was previously forecasted as a Category 3 hurricane but has since gained strength. The southeast Bahamas under a tropical storm warning, forecasters report.

Watches and warnings currently in effect

• Tropical Storm Warning for:

• Turks and Caicos Islands

• Southeast Bahamas

• Tropical Storm Watch for Central Bahamas

Meaning of the different watches and warnings

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within 12 to 24 hours.

Interests in the northwestern Bahamas, the North Carolina Outer Banks, and Bermuda should monitor the progress of Erin.

Hazards affecting land

Rainfall. Outer bands of Erin will produce localized areas of heavy rainfall across portions of Hispaniola through today and through Tuesday for the Turks and Caicos and the Bahamas east from San Salvador Island. Additional rainfall of 2 to 4 inches, with locally higher amounts to 6 inches, are forecast.

For a complete forecast of rainfall and flash flooding associated with Erin, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf

For a complete forecast of rainfall and flash flooding associated with Erin, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf

Wind. Tropical storm conditions are expected today across the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southeast Bahamas. Tropical storm conditions are possible in portions of the central Bahamas late today through Tuesday.

Surf. Swells generated by Erin will affect the Bahamas, Bermuda, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada during the next several days. These rough ocean conditions will likely cause life-threatening surf and rip currents.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ripCurrents

Storm surge. Minor coastal flooding is possible in areas of onshore winds in the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southeast Bahamas. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large waves.

Source: National Hurricane Center