Article first published: Saturday, Aug. 16, 2025, 4 a.m. ET

Article last updated: Sunday, Aug. 17, 2025, 1 a.m. ET

System type: Hurricane, Category 3

System name: Erin

The National Hurricane Center’s 1 a.m. Sunday advisory reported that Category 3 Hurricane Erin is in the Atlantic Ocean, 140 miles north of San Juan Puerto Rico and 330 miles east-southeast of Grand Turk Island. With maximum sustained winds of 125 mph, the hurricane is moving west-northwest at 14 mph.

“… the core of Erin is expected to pass to the east of the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southeastern Bahamas tonight and Monday”, according to analysts. They also said “Fluctuations in intensity are expected over the next day or two due to inner-core structural changes.”

Watches and warnings currently in effect

• Tropical Storm Watch for Turks and Caicos Islands

Meaning of the different watches and warnings

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case in the next 24 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the southeast and central Bahamas should monitor the progress of Erin.

Hazards affecting land

Rainfall. The outer bands of Erin will continue to produce areas of heavy rainfall today across the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches, with isolated totals of 8 inches, are expected. Locally considerable flash and urban flooding, along with landslides or mudslides, are possible.

For a complete forecast of rainfall and flash flooding associated with Erin, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf

Wind. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area in the Turks and Caicos Islands beginning tonight. Squalls with wind gusts to tropical storm force could occur over portions of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico today and across the southeast and central Bahamas tonight through Tuesday.

Surf. Swells generated by Erin will continue to affect portions of the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico,

Hispaniola, and the Turks and Caicos Islands during the next couple of days. These swells will spread to the Bahamas, Bermuda, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada during the early and middle portions of the week. These rough ocean conditions will likely cause life-threatening surf and rip currents.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ripCurrents

Source: National Hurricane Center