Article first published: Tuesday, Oct. 6, 2026, 4 p.m. ET

Article last updated: Tuesday, Oct. 6, 2026, 10 p.m. ET

System type: Tropical depression

According to the National Hurricane Center’s 10 p.m. Tuesday advisory, the tropical depression is in the Gulf of Mexico, 345 miles west of Progreso, Mexico and 605 miles southwest of the Mouth of the Mississippi River. Packing maximum sustained winds of 35 mph, it is tracking east at 5 mph.

The tropical depression is forecast to strengthen.

Hazards affecting land

Rainfall. Tropical Depression Nine is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches through Thursday across coastal portions of the Bay of Campeche with isolated higher amounts possible in the states of Campeche and western Yucatan.

From Friday through the weekend, the system is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches, with localized totals up to 10 inches, across the central U.S. Gulf Coast extending from southeastern Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle. Flash and urban flooding, along with isolated river flooding, will be possible.

For a complete forecast of rainfall associated with Tropical Depression Nine, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ero.

Wind. Gusty winds are possible in portions of the Yucatan Peninsula on Thursday.

Surf. Swells are expected to affect the western and northern portions of the Yucatan Peninsula beginning on Thursday and spread northward toward the Gulf Coast late this week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ripCurrents

Source: National Hurricane Center