Article first published: Wednesday, Oct. 8, 2025, 4 a.m. ET

Article last updated: Wednesday, Oct. 8, 2025, 10 a.m. ET

System type: Tropical storm

System name: Jerry

According to the National Hurricane Center’s 10 a.m. Wednesday advisory, Tropical Storm Jerry is in the Atlantic Ocean, 750 miles east-southeast of the Northern Leeward Islands. The system is moving to the west-northwest at 23 mph, with maximum sustained winds of 60 mph.

“A turn toward the northwest and then north at a slower forward speed is expected late Thursday into Saturday”, analysts observed. “On the forecast track, the center of Jerry is expected to pass near or to the northeast of the northern Leeward Islands late Thursday and Thursday night.” They also said “Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next few days, and Jerry could become a hurricane by the weekend.”

Forecasters alert: a tropical storm watch in effect for portions of the northern leeward islands.

Watches and warnings currently in effect

• Tropical Storm Watch for:

• Antigua, Barbuda, and Anguilla

• St. Kitts, Nevis, and Montserrat

• St. Barthelemy and St. Martin

• Sint Maarten

• Saba and St. Eustatius

• Guadeloupe and the adjacent islands

Meaning of the different watches and warnings

Anyone in the northern Leeward Islands and the British and U.S. Virgin Islands should monitor the progress of Jerry.

Hazards affecting land

Wind. Tropical storm conditions are possible in portions of the northern Leeward Islands within the watch area late Thursday into Friday.

Rainfall. On Thursday into early Friday, 2 to 4 inches of rain with local storm total maxima to 6 inches are expected across the Leeward Islands, British Virgin Islands, and U.S. Virgin Islands from Thursday into Saturday morning due to Jerry. This rainfall brings a risk of flash flooding, especially in areas of steep terrain.

For a complete forecast of rainfall and flash flooding associated with Jerry, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf

Surf. Swells generated by Jerry are expected to reach the Leeward and Windward Islands on Thursday, then spread westward toward the Greater Antilles on Friday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States, including Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands, can be found at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ripCurrents

Source: National Hurricane Center