Tuesday, Oct 7: Latest insights on Tropical Storm Jerry from the National Hurricane Center

Published Oct 7, 2025

Article first published: Tuesday, Oct. 7, 2025, 10 a.m. ET

Article last updated: Tuesday, Oct. 7, 2025, 4 p.m. ET

System type: Tropical storm

System name: Jerry

According to the National Hurricane Center’s 4 p.m. Tuesday advisory, Tropical Storm Jerry is in the Atlantic Ocean, 1,190 miles east-southeast of the Northern Leeward Islands. With maximum sustained winds of 50 mph, the system is moving west at 23 mph.

A tropical storm watch has been issued by forecasters for portions of the northern leeward islands.

Changes with this advisory

The government of Antigua and Barbuda has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for Barbuda and Anguilla. The government of France has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for St. Barthelemy and St. Martin. The government of Sint Maarten has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for Sint Maarten.

Watches and warnings currently in effect

Tropical Storm Watch for:

• Barbuda and Anguilla

• St. Barthelemy and St. Martin

• Sint Maarten

Meaning of the different watches and warnings

Anyone in the northern Leeward Islands, and the British and U.S. Virgin Islands should monitor the progress of Jerry.

Hazards affecting land

Wind. Tropical storm conditions are possible in portions of the northern Leeward Islands late Thursday and Friday, where Tropical Storm Watches have been issued.

Rainfall. On Thursday, 2 to 4 inches of rain are expected across the Leeward Islands due to Jerry. This rainfall brings a risk of flash flooding, especially in areas of higher terrain.

For a complete forecast of rainfall and flash flooding associated with Priscilla, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_al5.shtml?rainqpf

Surf. Swells generated by Jerry are expected to reach the Leeward Islands on Thursday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ripCurrents

Source: National Hurricane Center