Article first published: Friday, Oct. 10, 2025, 4 a.m. ET

System type: Tropical storm

System name: Jerry

At 4 a.m. Friday, the National Hurricane Center issued an advisory stating that Tropical Storm Jerry is in the Atlantic Ocean, 80 miles north-northeast of the Northern Leeward Islands. The system is moving to the northwest at 17 mph, with maximum sustained winds of 50 mph.

“… the center of Jerry will continue passing to the north of the Leeward Islands this morning, then move away from the islands later today”, analysts noted. They also said “Little change in strength is expected today, but slow strengthening is possible over the weekend.”

Forecasters announced a tropical storm warning for portions of the northern leeward islands.

Changes with this advisory

The government of Antigua and Barbuda has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for Barbuda and Anguilla, as well as the Tropical Storm Watch for Antigua, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Montserrat.

Watches and warnings currently in effect

• Tropical Storm Warning for:

• St. Barthelemy and St. Martin

• Sint Maarten

• Guadeloupe and the adjacent islands

• Tropical Storm Watch for Saba and St. Eustatius

Meaning of the different watches and warnings

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next several hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next several hours.

Hazards affecting land

Wind. Tropical storm conditions, mainly in gusts, are expected in the warning area and are possible in the watch area this morning.

Rainfall. Through today, 4 to 6 inches of rain are expected across the island of Barbuda. Elsewhere across the Leeward and Virgin Islands, 2 to 4 inches of rain are expected. This rainfall brings a risk of flash flooding, especially in urban areas and in steep terrain. For portions of Puerto Rico, moisture associated with Jerry combined with local orographic effects may result in up to 2 to 4 inches of rain, with isolated amounts of 6 inches.

For a complete forecast of rainfall and flash flooding associated with Jerry, please see the National Weather Service storm total rainfall graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf

Surf. Swells generated by Jerry are affecting the Leeward Islands, Windward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico, and are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. These swells are expected to spread toward the rest of the Greater Antilles today and tonight.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States, including Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands, can be found at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ripCurrents

Source: National Hurricane Center