Article first published: Thursday, Oct. 9, 2025, 4 a.m. ET

Article last updated: Thursday, Oct. 9, 2025, 10 p.m. ET

System type: Tropical storm

System name: Jerry

The National Hurricane Center’s 10 p.m. Thursday update reported that Tropical Storm Jerry is in the Atlantic Ocean, 100 miles east of the Northern Leeward Islands. With maximum sustained winds of 60 mph, it is moving to the northwest at 17 mph.

Forecasters alert: a tropical storm warning in effect for portions of the northern leeward islands.

Watches and warnings currently in effect

• Tropical Storm Warning for:

• Barbuda and Anguilla

• St. Barthelemy and St. Martin

• Sint Maarten

• Guadeloupe and the adjacent islands

• Tropical Storm Watch for:

• Antigua, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Montserrat

• Saba and St. Eustatius

Meaning of the different watches and warnings

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 12 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within 12 hours.

Anyone in the northern Leeward Islands and the British and U.S. Virgin Islands should monitor the progress of Jerry.

Hazards affecting land

Wind. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area and are possible in the watch area tonight and Friday morning.

Rainfall. Through Friday, 4 to 6 inches of rain are expected across the island of Barbuda. Elsewhere across the Leeward and Virgin Islands, 2 to 4 inches of rain are expected. This rainfall brings a risk of flash flooding, especially in urban areas and in steep terrain. For portions of Puerto Rico, moisture associated with Jerry combined with local orographic effects may result in up to 2 to 4 inches of rain, with isolated 6 inches.

For a complete forecast of rainfall and flash flooding associated with Jerry, please see the National Weather Service storm total rainfall graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf

Surf. Swells generated by Jerry are affecting the Leeward Islands, Windward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico. These swells are expected to spread toward the rest of the Greater Antilles over the next couple of days, are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States, including Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands, can be found at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ripCurrents

Source: National Hurricane Center