Article first published: Thursday, Aug. 14, 2025, 4 a.m. ET
Article last updated: Thursday, Aug. 14, 2025, 7 p.m. ET
System type: Tropical storm
System name: Erin
On 7 p.m. Thursday, the National Hurricane Center issued an advisory stating that Tropical Storm Erin is in the Atlantic Ocean, 745 miles east of the Northern Leeward Islands. With maximum sustained winds of 70 mph, the system is moving to the west at 17 mph.
“… the center of Erin is likely to move near or just north of the northern Leeward Islands over the weekend”, according to meteorologists. They also said “Additional strengthening is forecast during the next few days and Erin is expected to soon become a hurricane and could become a major hurricane by the end of this weekend.”
Watches and warnings currently in effect
• Tropical Storm Watch for:
• Anguilla and Barbuda
• St. Martin and St. Barthelemy
• Saba and St. Eustatius
• Sint Maarten
Meaning of the different watches and warnings
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
Interests elsewhere in the northern Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of Erin.
Hazards affecting land
Rainfall. Tropical Storm Erin is expected to produce areas of heavy rainfall beginning late Friday and continuing through the weekend across the northernmost Leeward Islands, the U.S. and British Virgin Islands, as well as southern and eastern Puerto Rico. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches, with isolated totals of 6 inches, are expected. This rainfall may lead to isolated flash and urban flooding, along with landslides or mudslides.
For a complete forecast of rainfall and flash flooding associated with Tropical Storm Erin, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf
Wind. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by early Saturday.
Surf. Swells generated by Erin will begin affecting portions of the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico by this weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ripCurrents
Source: National Hurricane Center