Article published: Friday, Sept. 26, 2025, 4 p.m. ET

System type: Potential tropical cyclone

The National Hurricane Center issued its first advisory for the potential tropical cyclone at 4 p.m. Friday. The potential tropical cyclone is in the Atlantic Ocean, 55 miles north-northwest of the Eastern Tip of Cuba and 200 miles south-southeast of the Central Bahamas. With maximum sustained winds of 35 mph, it is moving northwest at 9 mph.

Portions of the Bahamas placed under a tropical storm watch and a tropical storm warning by forecasters.

Watches and warnings currently in effect

• Tropical Storm Warning for Central Bahamas, including Cat Island, the Exumas, Long Island,

• Tropical Storm Watch for Portions of the northwestern Bahamas, including Eleuthera, New Providence, the Abacos, Berry Islands, and Grand Bahama Island.

Meaning of the different watches and warnings

Rum Cay, and San Salvador.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests in eastern Cuba, the southeast Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the southeastern U.S. should monitor the progress of this system.

Hazards affecting land

Wind. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area beginning Saturday night and are possible in the watch area on Sunday.

Rainfall. The disturbance is expected to produce the following storm total rainfall amounts through Monday morning. Eastern Cuba: 8 to 12 inches, with isolated maximum totals of 16 inches.

Bahamas: 4 to 8 inches of rain are expected.

Hispaniola, Jamaica, and portions of central and southern Cuba: 2 to 4 inches of additional rainfall are expected.

This rainfall will likely produce flash and urban flooding.

Mudslides are also possible in areas of higher terrain across eastern Cuba, Hispaniola, and Jamaica.

An increasing threat of heavy rainfall from this system is forecast over the southern Mid-Atlantic through coastal Georgia which could cause flash, urban, and river flooding into next week.

For a complete forecast of rainfall and flash flooding associated with Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?rainqpf.

Storm surge. A storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet above ground level along the immediate coast in areas of onshore winds in the northwestern Bahamas. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large waves.

Surf. Swells generated by both this system and Hurricane Humberto will affect portions of the Bahamas this weekend, and spread to portions of the southeast U.S. coast early next week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ripCurrents

Source: National Hurricane Center