Article first published: Sunday, Aug. 17, 2025, 4 a.m. ET

Article last updated: Monday, Aug. 18, 2025, 1 a.m. ET

System type: Hurricane, Category 4

System name: Erin

As per the National Hurricane Center’s 1 a.m. Monday update, Erin found new strength and had evolved from a Category 3 hurricane into a Category 4 hurricane with sustained winds of 130 mph. Category 4 Hurricane Erin is in the Atlantic Ocean, 110 miles northeast of Grand Turk Island and 935 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras North Carolina. Packing maximum sustained winds of 130 mph, the hurricane is tracking northwest at 12 mph.

“A gradual turn to the north is expected later today and on Tuesday On the forecast track, the core of Erin is expected to pass to the east of the southeastern Bahamas today and move between Bermuda and the east coast of the United States by the middle of the week Some additional strengthening is expected today”, analysts noted about the hurricane. They also said “Even though some weakening is forecast beginning tonight, Erin will remain a large and dangerous major hurricane through the middle of this week.”

Watches and warnings currently in effect

• Tropical Storm Warning for:

• Turks and Caicos Islands

• Southeast Bahamas

Meaning of the different watches and warnings

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area.

Interests elsewhere in the central Bahamas, the North Carolina Outer Banks, and Bermuda should monitor the progress of Erin.

Hazards affecting land

Rainfall. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue to produce localized areas of heavy rainfall across Puerto Rico. Additional rainfall of 1 to 2 inches are expected across Puerto Rico today. Additional rainfall of 2 to 4 inches, with locally higher amounts to 6 inches, are forecast over the Turks and Caicos and the eastern Bahamas including San Salvador Island through Tuesday. Locally considerable flash and urban flooding, along with landslides or mudslides, are possible.

For a complete forecast of rainfall and flash flooding associated with Erin, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf

Wind. Tropical storm conditions are expected today across the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southeast Bahamas.

Surf. Swells generated by Erin will affect the Bahamas, Bermuda,

The east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada during the next several days. These rough ocean conditions will likely cause life-threatening surf and rip currents.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ripCurrents

Storm surge. Minor coastal flooding is possible in areas of onshore winds in the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southeast Bahamas. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large waves.

Source: National Hurricane Center