Article first published: Saturday, Oct. 10, 2026, 4 a.m. ET
System type: Hurricane, Category 1
System name: Isaias
At 4 a.m. Saturday, the National Hurricane Center issued the last advisory for the Category 1 hurricane system. Category 1 Hurricane Isaias is 25 miles south-southwest of Montgomery, Alabama and 105 miles south of Birmingham, Alabama. Packing maximum sustained winds of 35 mph, the hurricane is tracking to the north at 14 mph.
“… Isaias is expected to move across Alabama and into the Tennessee Valley later today and Sunday,” meteorologists observed. They also said “Slow weakening is forecast today, and Isaias is forecast to dissipate on Sunday.”
Yesterday (Friday)
There were many developments, particularly at night. Isaias was a Category 3 hurricane, before weakening to a Category 2 hurricane. Then, it was downgraded to a Category 1 hurricane with sustained winds of 90 mph.
Changes with this advisory
All Storm Surge and Tropical Storm Warnings have been discontinued.
Hazards affecting land
Rainfall. Through the weekend, Isaias is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches across southern Alabama, the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend, and southwest Georgia. Localized totals up to 15 inches are possible, particularly within banding across the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend.
Across much of the remainder of the Southeast, rainfall amounts of 2 to 5 inches are expected. Localized higher amounts up to 10 inches are possible, especially across the Southern Appalachians and coastal Carolinas. Flash, urban, and river flooding is possible across the region, with considerable impacts likely across much of southern Alabama and the Florida Panhandle into southwestern Georgia. Considerable flash flooding and landslides are also possible across the Southern Appalachians.
For a complete forecast of rainfall associated with Isaias, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ero.
Tornadoes. A risk for tornadoes will persist this morning through this afternoon across parts of the eastern Florida Panhandle, Georgia, and the Carolinas.
Storm surge. Water levels will continue to recede along the Florida Gulf Coast throughout the day.
Surf. Swells from Isaias will continue to affect much of the Gulf coasts of the United States, Mexico, and western Cuba this weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ripCurrents
Source: National Hurricane Center
