Article first published: Tuesday, Oct. 7, 2025, 10 a.m. ET

Article last updated: Wednesday, Oct. 8, 2025, 1 a.m. ET

System type: Tropical storm

System name: Jerry

According to the National Hurricane Center’s 1 a.m. Wednesday advisory, Tropical Storm Jerry is in the Atlantic Ocean, 950 miles east-southeast of the Northern Leeward Islands. The system is moving to the west-northwest at 23 mph, with maximum sustained winds of 50 mph.

“… the core of the system is expected to be near or to the north of the northern Leeward Islands late Thursday and Friday”, forecasters stated. They also said “Strengthening is forecast during the next few days, and Jerry is expected to become a hurricane by late tonight or Thursday.”

Watches and warnings currently in effect

• Tropical Storm Watch for:

• Antigua, Barbuda, and Anguilla

• St. Kitts, Nevis, and Montserrat

• St. Barthelemy and St. Martin

• Sint Maarten

• Saba and St. Eustatius

• Guadeloupe and the adjacent islands

Meaning of the different watches and warnings

Anyone in the northern Leeward Islands and the British and U.S. Virgin Islands should monitor the progress of Jerry.

Hazards affecting land

Wind. Tropical storm conditions are possible in portions of the northern Leeward Islands within the watch area late Thursday and Friday.

Rainfall. On Thursday, 2 to 4 inches of rain are expected across the Leeward Islands due to Jerry. This rainfall brings a risk of flash flooding, especially in areas of higher terrain.

For a complete forecast of rainfall and flash flooding associated with Jerry, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf

Surf. Swells generated by Jerry are expected to reach the Leeward and Windward Islands on Thursday, then spread westward toward the Greater Antilles on Friday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ripCurrents

Source: National Hurricane Center