Article first published: Friday, Sept. 26, 2025, 4 p.m. ET

Article last updated: Friday, Sept. 26, 2025, 7 p.m. ET

System type: Potential tropical cyclone

The National Hurricane Center’s 7 p.m. Friday advisory reported that the potential tropical cyclone is in the Atlantic Ocean, 75 miles northwest of the Eastern Tip of Cuba and 185 miles south-southeast of the Central Bahamas. With maximum sustained winds of 35 mph, it is moving west-northwest at 10 mph.

“… the center of the system is expected to move across the central and northwestern Bahamas this weekend and approach the southeast U.S. coast early next week”, forecasters explained. They also said “Gradual strengthening is forecast, and the system is expected to become a tropical depression on Saturday and a tropical storm Saturday night or early Sunday.”

Watches and warnings currently in effect

• Tropical Storm Warning for Central Bahamas, including Cat Island, the Exumas, Long Island, Rum Cay, and San Salvador

• Tropical Storm Watch for Portions of the northwestern Bahamas, including Eleuthera, New Providence, the Abacos, Berry Islands, and Grand Bahama Island

Meaning of the different watches and warnings

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Hazards affecting land

Wind. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the central Bahamas beginning Saturday night and are possible in portions of the northwestern Bahamas on Sunday.

Rainfall. The disturbance is expected to produce the following storm total rainfall amounts through Monday morning.

Eastern Cuba: 8 to 12 inches, with isolated maximum totals of 16 inches.

Bahamas: 4 to 8 inches of rain are expected.

Hispaniola, Jamaica, and portions of central and southern Cuba: 2 to 4 inches of additional rainfall are expected.

This rainfall will likely produce flash and urban flooding. Mudslides are also possible in areas of higher terrain across eastern Cuba, Hispaniola, and Jamaica.

An increasing threat of heavy rainfall from this system is forecast over the southern Mid-Atlantic through coastal Georgia which could cause flash, urban, and river flooding into next week.

For a complete forecast of rainfall and flash flooding associated with Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?rainqpf.

Storm surge. A storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet above ground level along the immediate coast in areas of onshore winds in the northwestern Bahamas. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large waves.

Surf. Swells generated by both this system and Hurricane Humberto will affect portions of the Bahamas this weekend, and spread to portions of the southeast U.S. coast early next week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ripCurrents

Source: National Hurricane Center