Article first published: Monday, Aug. 18, 2025, 4 a.m. ET

Article last updated: Monday, Aug. 18, 2025, 7 p.m. ET

System type: Hurricane, Category 4

System name: Erin

As per the National Hurricane Center’s 7 p.m. Monday update, Category 4 Hurricane Erin is in the Atlantic Ocean, 695 miles southwest of Bermuda and 805 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras North Carolina. Packing maximum sustained winds of 130 mph, the hurricane is tracking northwest at 10 mph.

“A turn to the north is forecast on Tuesday”, according to meteorologists. “On the forecast track, the core of Erin is expected to pass to the east of the southeastern and central Bahamas today and tonight, and move between Bermuda and the east coast of the United States by the middle of the week.” They also said “Erin is likely to remain a dangerous major hurricane through the middle of this week.”

Yesterday (Sunday)

The Category 3 hurricane named Erin developed into a Category 4 hurricane with winds of 130 mph. It was previously forecasted as a Category 3 hurricane but has since gained strength. The southeast Bahamas under a tropical storm warning, forecasters report.

Watches and warnings currently in effect

• Tropical Storm Warning for:

• Turks and Caicos Islands

• Southeast Bahamas

• Storm Surge Watch for Cape Lookout to Duck, North Carolina

• Tropical Storm Watch for:

• Central Bahamas

• Beaufort Inlet to Duck, North Carolina including Pamlico Sound

Meaning of the different watches and warnings

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life- threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov.

Interests in the northwestern Bahamas and Bermuda should monitor the progress of Erin.

Hazards affecting land

Rainfall. Outer bands of Erin will produce localized areas of heavy rainfall across portions of Hispaniola this evening and through Tuesday for the Turks and Caicos, the southeast Bahamas, and the easternmost central Bahamas. Additional rainfall of 2 to 4 inches, with locally higher amounts to 6 inches, are forecast.

For a complete forecast of rainfall and flash flooding associated with Erin, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf

Wind. Tropical storm conditions are expected through this evening across the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southeast Bahamas. Tropical storm conditions are possible in portions of the central Bahamas tonight through Tuesday. Tropical storm conditions are possible over portions of the North Carolina Outer Banks beginning late Wednesday.

Surf. Swells generated by Erin will affect the Bahamas, Bermuda,

The east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada during the next several days. These rough ocean conditions are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip currents.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ripCurrents

Storm surge. Minor coastal flooding is possible in areas of onshore winds in the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southeast Bahamas.

Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large waves.

The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide…

Cape Lookout to Duck, North Carolina…2 to 4 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast where the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.

For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?peakSurge.

Source: National Hurricane Center